DROOPYS CABAYE
(w): Bursting onto the Open race scene in the summer
at Shelbourne Park, this third finalist for Graham Holland was an extremely
unlucky Derby quarter-final eliminee but he has now earned a shot at classic
redemption following yet another string of quality performances. Developing a
more consistent profile as he matures, the slick early pacer has led to the
first bend in his last three St Leger heats and if doing so again, is capable
of a bold bid for glory. As with his fellow early pacers now, he can put all
to the sword if leading while likely to cause traffic problems in behind. He
will need to get further clear of Sonic than he managed to halfway last week
but his is a straight forward claim; break well and try to cling on. A proper
contender at 7/2.
**All prices quoted are from Boylesports
The
verdict!
From the outset, the 2017 Kerry Agribusiness Irish St Leger
has been hugely competitive and has only tightened on form with each passing
round. Our final now houses four runners with early pace who will seek a lead
in the opening exchanges to be seen to best effect while two who will produce
their best running from halfway.
Falling into the latter category is favourite Sonic
but a true superstar of the sport, he is also capable of a smart start which he
produced in a brilliant semi-final victory and with these abilities combined he
truly merits his place at the head of the market.
From Trap 5, he is again likely to cede early advantage to
Droopys Cabaye on his outer but that could prove ideal if avoiding any bumps at
the bend as that kennelmate would be a perfect target for Sonic with his
inevitable back-straight charge. Possessing ever increasing track craft, he
almost invariably finds a passage at the bends and on the back of a brilliant
semi-final win, he is difficult to adamantly oppose.
However, there are plausible threats to Sonic and with so
much early pace in the race the biggest problem could be a line of runners in
his path at the bend where possible bumping among the pacesetters could see his
path blocked at a crucial point.
For four of our finalists, the path to victory is
complicated by it’s very simplicity because for Jaytee Yankee, Clonbrien Hero,
Ballybough Dad and Droopys Cabaye, they all must turn first to conceivably
claim the St Leger title. There is little to chose between them on the run to
the first bend and in that scenario you would much prefer to be on the flanks.
From Trap 2 now, Jaytee Yankee is fancied to outpace
Black Eyed Peppa on his inner and he has very strong claims to repeat what he
did a week ago when containing both Clonbrien Hero and Ballybough Dad to the
bend where his inside pitch proved a deciding factor. With Clonbrien Hero much
more likely to move towards the middle than step to his left from Trap 3 now,
Yankee is well drawn!
Equally well drawn is Droopys Cabaye and the hugely
likeable early pacer can dictate on the outer as chief threat Ballybough Dad
may have plenty on his plate being on the right hand side of Clonbrien Hero
from traps. If as expected, he turns in contention for the lead with Jaytee
Yankee, the pair would serve up a rare old tussle as there seems little to
separate them from the second bend to home.
A tight affair early, it may require a smash break from
either Clonbrien Hero or Ballybough Dad to secure a first bend
lead that they would need for victory hopes and while both are capable,
complications are more likely for these early pacers than for Yankee and
Cabaye.
Outsider of the field, Black Eyed Peppa is arguably
drawn best of all in the final and is not totally devoid of early pace despite
his slower splits. He is the only finalist who can match Sonic from the second
bend to home and with the possibility of bumping in front of him at the first
bend, he could possibly turn close enough to pose a late threat. He is
definitely not ruled out and is one for those seeking a longer priced
alternative.
Attempting to describe the race before the off, Jaytee
Yankee leads the charge to the bend on the inner while Droopys Cabaye matches
him stride for stride out wide. Taking a step to the right Clonbrien Hero edges
right towards Ballybough Dad which affords Sonic the opportunity to contest for
third place approaching the bend. Yankee and Cabaye go paw to paw along the
back-straight with the inside line giving Yankee the opportunity to hit the
home-straight in front. Having established himself in a clear third place with
a strong back-straight challenge however, Sonic now looms large in behind the
leading duo before overhauling Yankee close home. One possible scenario! 5-1-6.
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