Splits analysis for 2017 Irish St Leger Final

Trap Order	Opening 325	Closing 225
Black Eyed Peppa                               Rd 2                               Q/F                             S/F	17.78 ckd 18.02 ckd 17.72	12.35 12.21 12.20	Clearly the numbers indicate that Peppa has been one of the most impressive stayers in the Leger. However, those early figures simply must come down if he is to retain any win claims but watch the videos, he does actually have early pace and is Trap 1 the keep to making him break?! Sneak a run with a bump or two among the early pacers…..possible!
Jaytee Yankee                               Rd 2                             Q/F                               S/F	17.56 17.82 mvd-rails 17.50 hampd	12.45 12.39 12.50	The draw gives Yankee a chance to repeat last week’s win because he was clipped from behind in his latest 17.50 so can lower that. His best 12.39 coming home would make even Sonic work given that Yankee won’t give up the inner. He must lead and even then you’ll sweat if your on him but he is definitely a player in the final.
Clonbrien Hero                               Rd 2                             Q/F                               S/F	17.38 17.42 17.60 ckd	12.34 12.57 12.68 ckd	Even a quick glance would have supporters worried because Hero’s numbers are receding each week. Granted he met traffic in the semi but his win claim now hinges on a fast break. If he could make the front and produce say a 17.45, he would have a right chance but the worry is that although checked in his latest 12.68 finish, it was only a slight check and wasn’t enough to have him so far back on his best 12.34.
Ballybough Dad                               Rd 2                               Q/F                               S/F	17.75 ckd 17.50 17.58 bmp	12.43 12.52 12.49	Super consistent and if left alone, he would probably do 17.50 to the third turn every night. His latest 12.49 may have been even better because although not checked, he was nose to tail with Yankee for much of it so 12.43 would be about right. That all says 29.90 or so with a clear run and the only way that would win is if he turned in front (same for Yankee, Hero & Cabaye). He could though and 10/1 is very big for this consistency at a high level.
Sonic                               Rd 2                               Q/F                               S/F	17.53 ckd 17.63 17.43	12.49 12.36 ckd 12.21	Posts his best figures in the semi. Timed to perfection? They numbers say yes! When he breaks he can reach the third bend with the best of the early pacers in the final and we know he will out-stay them. It all screams that Sonic wins if given a clear run. The only one that can match him coming home, probably can’t match him early. Three lengths off the lead at halfway….Job done?!
Droopys Cabaye                               Rd 2                               Q/F                               S/F	17.60 17.44 17.46	12.36 12.51 12.39	Just simply couldn’t get far enough ahead of Sonic last week but the numbers are classy and last week’s 12.39 means that he is a big player with the most likely clear run. Nothing broke on Sonic’s inner last week but what if they do now?! If Sonic gets a bump, Cabaye could be scooting to lead and in 12.39 form coming home, he could possibly repel a late surge. Remember, he has a saucy 575 run at SPK, he stays plenty well enough. The numbers confirm it, he has a right chance!